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Tuesday, March 17, 2020

How to stop the pandemic panic

Stopping all this panic would be easy. As stated before, Coronavirus is not "deadly" nor is it "very contagious." The final report by the WHO on the China outbreak shows this. Still we see "thousands" and now over ten thousand new cases each day--primarily because we are now quarantining so families are going to spread it to each other. In addition, the United States is starting to get its act together with testing, so we are going to see the fruits of not being able to test (and quarantine) sick people for the past two months. To make matters worse, the daily counts released by the CDC are not "confirmed" accounts but "probable" accounts. We are only testing about 3000 people each day compared to the 16,000 tests per day South Korea runs and our test takes 1-3 days as opposed to the 3 hours it takes in South Korea.
But to stop all this panic, all the governments need to do is stop reporting raw numbers. New cases should be broken down into "mild," "moderate," and "severe" categories. All deaths should be broken down by age and "with preexisting conditions" or "without preexisting conditions." As soon as people see this only effects older people with preexisting conditions, they will realize this panic is crazy (since apparently seeing that the death rate is lower than the 2017-2018 flu is not calming them). Even Italy's 7% death rate is on par with a good year of the flu.

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